Saturday, March 17, 2007

Firm Claims Defaults Are Understated

The Central Valley Business Times has this press release from California. "Home foreclosures in the United States being reported by the media likely understate actual foreclosure sales activity, according to Foreclosure Radar. According to the company, February saw 4,171 foreclosures with a total loan value of $1.64 billion for distressed properties sold at auction in California."

"This dollar volume surpassed the prior record reached in the third quarter of 1996, and represents a 48 percent increase from December 2006, says the company which tracks actual foreclosure sales, not just initial listings."

"'The foreclosure sale numbers, sometimes referred to as REO's reported by similar listing services do not reflect current foreclosure sales activity. Instead, they are based on a document called a Trustee's Deed that gets recorded with the county weeks after the sale. With the rapid changes in the foreclosure market, the delay in waiting for these documents to be recorded has resulted in actual foreclosure sales to be under reported by more than 300 percent,' he says."

"'If you look at the data for Contra Costa County, for example, the number of foreclosures has increased by 865 percent in just one year and this is by no means the worst example in California,' says Mr. O’Toole."

"Such figures help explain the sudden surge in subprime lender failures, with nearly two dozen shuttered, Mr. O’Toole says."

3 Comments:

At 6:19 AM, Blogger mort_fin said...

how, exactly, does one get underreporting of 300%? Each actual foreclosure gets reported as -2?

 
At 1:17 AM, Blogger Sean said...

You get underreporting of 300% by reporting on something (in this case the trustee's deed) that gets recorded weeks after the actual sale takes place. To be clear www.ForeclosureRadar.com doesn't just claim this. As the only service that tracks every foreclosure in California, we state it as fact, and can back it up with data on each and every sale. Best Regards, ForeclosureRadar.

 
At 1:23 AM, Blogger Sean said...

mort_fin -- I see now how you applied -2, and I concede you are technically correct. The number of trustee's deeds recorded, which is reported by other services only represented 1/3 of the homes actually sold in January.

 

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